# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2026-07-31 (settled) · 26 words · K k:KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:14:32Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-31 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-07-27..2026-07-30 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01 ({word} = w of K rows): If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Aug 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# coverage 39 of 53 known appearances transcribed (as of 2026-10-22T15:19:59Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree	lower_bound
Google / GOOG / GOOGL	goog|googl|google	0	0			8	0	0.58	hist	5	8	yes	1	
New York Times / NYT	new york time|nyt	0	0			8	0	0.58	hist	11	20	yes	1	
Meta	meta	2	1	0.5	nY	8	0	0.57	hist	6	7	yes	1	
Airbnb / ABNB	abnb|airbnb	0	0			8	0	0.57	hist	0	0	no		1
Dell	dell	8	6	0.75	YYYYnYnY	8	0	0.56	hist	18	19	yes	1	
General Motors / GM	general motor|gm	1	0	0	n	8	1	0.56	hist	20	24	yes	1	
Boeing / BA	ba|boeing	0	0			8	1	0.56	hist	11	14	yes	1	
TSMC / TSM	tsm|tsmc	0	0			8	0	0.56	hist	1	2	yes	1	
Amazon / AMZN	amazon|amzn	0	0			8	0	0.55	hist	2	3	yes	1	
Apple / AAPL	aapl|apple	0	0			8	0	0.55	hist	3	4	yes	1	
Microsoft / MSFT	microsoft|msft	0	0			8	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no		1
CNN	cnn	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	8	0	0.54	hist	7	8	yes	1	
Intel / INTC	intc|intel	0	0			8	0	0.54	hist	6	7	yes	1	
Nvidia / NVDA	nvda|nvidia	0	0			8	0	0.54	hist	6	7	yes	1	
Tesla / TSLA	tesla|tsla	0	0			8	0	0.53	hist	0	0	no		1
DoorDash / DASH	dash|doordash	0	0			8	0	0.52	hist	0	0	no		1
Rigetti / RGTI	rgti|rigetti	0	0			8	0	0.5	hist	0	0	no		1
SpaceX / SPCX	spacex|spcx	0	0			8	0	0.49	hist	1	10	yes	1	
Anthropic / Claude	anthropic|claude	4	0	0	nnnn	8	0	0.46	hist	0	1	no		1
ChatGPT / OpenAI	chatgpt|openai	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.46	hist	0	1	no		1
TikTok	tiktok	57	14	0.25	nnYnnnnYYY	8	0	0.33	hist	29	49	yes	1	
Deere / DE	de|deere	0	0			8	1	0.56	prior	3	7	yes	1	
ExxonMobil / XOM	exxonmobil|xom	0	0			8	0	0.56	prior	0	0	no		1
Fox News	fox new	0	0			8	0	0.56	prior	9	13	yes	1	
Micron / MU	micron|mu	0	0			8	0	0.56	prior	17	18	yes	1	
Pfizer / PFE	pfe|pfizer	0	0			8	0	0.56	prior	0	0	no		1