# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-11-06 · 26 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV072 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:51:45Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-06 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV072 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Dinner with Central Asian Countries, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
China	china	52	43	0.83	YYYYYnYYYn	0.73	yes
Tariff	tariff	51	40	0.78	YYYYnnYYYn	0.73	yes
Biden	biden	90	70	0.78	nnYYYnnnnY	0.71	yes
250	250	2	2	1	YY	0.62	no
Democrat	democrat	29	20	0.69	YnYYnYnnYY	0.59	yes
Trillion	trillion	9	6	0.67	YnYYYYYnn	0.59	yes
Hottest	hottest	50	30	0.6	YYYYYnnnnY	0.58	no
Energy	energy	25	17	0.68	YYnYYnnYYY	0.56	yes
Election	election	26	17	0.65	YYnnYYYnnn	0.56	yes
Border	border	54	35	0.65	nnYYYnnnYY	0.54	no
Nuclear	nuclear	52	33	0.63	YnnnYYYnnn	0.51	yes
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	0	0			0.51	no
Radical Left	radical left	16	11	0.69	nYYYnnYnYY	0.49	no
Middle East	middle east	14	7	0.5	YYYnnYYnnn	0.49	yes
Russia	russia	44	24	0.55	YYYnnnnYnn	0.45	yes
New York	new york	7	3	0.43	YnYnnYn	0.44	no
Investment	investment	19	8	0.42	nYnnnYYYnn	0.43	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	8	4	0.5	nYYYYnnn	0.42	no
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	12	5	0.42	nnYYnnnYYn	0.4	yes
Putin	putin	54	32	0.59	YYnnnnYYnn	0.39	yes
Disaster	disaster	11	6	0.55	YYYnnnnnYY	0.39	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	35	14	0.4	nYYnnnnnnn	0.38	yes
Oil	oil	24	8	0.33	nnnnYYYYnn	0.34	no
Water	water	16	5	0.31	YYnnnnnnYn	0.32	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	20	4	0.2	YYnnnYnnnn	0.3	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	164	15	0.09	nnnnnnnYYY	0.17	no