# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-03-26 · 29 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAR26B · as_of 2026-10-24T14:50:35Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-26 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAR26B ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Cabinet Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	1	63	47	0.75	YYYnYYYYYY	1	1	0.69	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	149	98	0.66	YnYYnnnnnY	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	48	28	0.58	YYYYYYYnYY	1	1	0.58	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	76	42	0.55	YYnnYYnYnY	1	1	0.58	hist	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	1	17	11	0.65	YYnYYYnnYn	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	213	148	0.69	YYnnYnYYYY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Deal / Settle	deal|settle	1	0	0			1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	13	7	0.54	nnnYnnYYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Save America Act	save america act	1	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.5	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	15	9	0.6	nYYYYnnYYn	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
TSA	tsa	1	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.47	hist	no
Eight War	eight war	1	64	36	0.56	YnnYnYnnnY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Oil	oil	1	55	26	0.47	YYYnYnnnYY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	180	94	0.52	nnnnnnnYnY	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	1	7	5	0.71	YnYYnYY	1	0	0.44	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	54	28	0.52	YnnYnnnnnY	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Midterm	midterm	1	4	2	0.5	nYYn	1	0	0.43	hist	no
Radical Left	radical left	1	58	27	0.47	YYnYYnnnYY	1	1	0.41	hist	no
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	4	2	0.5	YYnn	1	1	0.39	hist	yes
TrumpRX	trumprx	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Epic Fury	epic fury	1	19	6	0.32	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.36	hist	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	33	12	0.36	nnYYYYYnnn	1	1	0.35	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	76	27	0.36	nnYYYnnYYY	1	1	0.32	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	12	3	0.25	nnYnnnnnnn	1	1	0.31	hist	no
Too Late	too late	1	20	5	0.25	nnnYnnnnnY	1	1	0.3	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	7	2	0.29	YnnYnnn	1	1	0.28	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	21	5	0.24	YnnnYnnnnn	1	0	0.24	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	318	30	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.04	hist	no
LaGuardia	laguardia	1	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no