Will Donald Trump say “Dumbocrat / Dumacrat”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Dumbocrat / Dumacrat” at 14 of 37 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 4, 2026 (38%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=37, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

40%from settlement history only · n=37counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes no yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=dumacrat%20%2F%20dumbocrat

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

Probability
40% · n=37
Settled
14/37 (38%)
Last 6 speeches
said in 0 of 6

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 38 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 10, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Sep 9, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Aug 24, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Aug 13, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes–
Aug 11, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Aug 5, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Aug 4, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Jul 29, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jul 29, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Jul 29, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Jul 28, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Jul 28, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Jul 27, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jul 24, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Jul 24, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jul 23, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jul 16, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Jul 14, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Jul 14, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Jul 9, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Jul 7, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Jul 6, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Jul 4, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Jul 3, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Jul 2, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes–
Jul 1, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Jun 29, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Jun 26, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jun 24, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jun 24, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jun 24, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Jun 23, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jun 20, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Jun 17, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiNo0
Jun 17, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jun 10, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jun 4, 2026Dumbocrat / DumacratKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Dumbocrat / Dumacrat”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Dumbocrat / Dumacrat” at 14 of 37 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 4, 2026 (38%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Dumbocrat / Dumacrat” next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=37). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Dumbocrat / Dumacrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/dumacrat-or-dumbocrat (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=dumacrat%20%2F%20dumbocrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP