Will Donald Trump say “Open Border”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Open Border” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 28, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Open Border
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…they're the ones that want transgender mutilization of your children. They want open borders. They want they want men playing in women's sports. So, their…
…the transgender policies or the men playing in women's sports or the open borders. I'm good at finance. I've always been great at finance. Their…
…your your policies are like men and women sports, transgender for everyone, open borders, so the whole world so prison populations get released into your…
…the Russia, Russia, Russia hoax, the Ukraine, Ukraine, Ukraine hoax, climate change, open borders, whoever wins AI, you have to remember this. And now I…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Open Border |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Open Border | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Open Border”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Open Border” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 28, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Open Border” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Open Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/open-border (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=open%20border · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP