Will “Healthcare” be said on The Last Word next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Healthcare” was said on The Last Word in 22 of 35 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 6, 2026 (63%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=35, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell
Healthcare
- Probability
- 65% · n=35
- Settled
- 22/35 (63%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 2 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 17 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 35 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 2 | |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 1 | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 1 | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 1 | |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 1 | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Healthcare | No | 0 | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Healthcare | No | 0 | |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 2 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 2 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 1 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | 3 | |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| May 28, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| May 26, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| May 20, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| May 20, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – | |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Healthcare | Yes | – | |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Healthcare | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Healthcare” said on The Last Word?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Healthcare” was said on The Last Word in 22 of 35 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 6, 2026 (63%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026.
- What is the probability “Healthcare” is said on The Last Word next time?
- 65%, from settlement history (n=35). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Healthcare’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/healthcare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=healthcare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP