Will “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said on The Last Word in 14 of 31 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026 (45%), most recently on Oct 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=31, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

44%from settlement history only · n=31counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes no no yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability
44% · n=31
Settled
14/31 (45%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Raphael Warnockguest21:40In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Ken Paxton fundraiser audioother14:06In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 11 by speakers the rule does not count.

Mark Kellyguest30:23In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Reporter clipother8:03In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 31 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 7, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes1
Oct 5, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo0
Sep 21, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes1
Aug 19, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jul 30, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jul 29, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Jul 22, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Jul 20, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Jul 16, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jul 15, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jun 30, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jun 25, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jun 15, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jun 10, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jun 9, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Jun 3, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jun 1, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
May 28, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
May 26, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
May 20, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
May 20, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
May 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
May 12, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Apr 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Apr 7, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Apr 6, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Apr 2, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Mar 31, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Mar 25, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Mar 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said on The Last Word in 14 of 31 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026 (45%), most recently on Oct 7, 2026.
What is the probability “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” is said on The Last Word next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=31). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP