Will “Republican” be said on The Briefing next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Republican” was said on The Briefing in 30 of 41 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (73%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=41, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 1 latest transcripts we have (8 episodes), it reached the market's count 0 times.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe Briefing with Jen Psaki
Republican
- Probability
- 51% · n=41
- Settled
- 30/41 (73%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
28 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 20 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 19 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 41 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Republican | Yes | 2 | |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Republican | No | 0 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Republican | No | 0 | |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Republican | No | 0 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Republican | No | 0 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Republican | Yes | 3 | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Republican | Yes | 7 | |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Republican | No | 0 | |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Republican | No | 0 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Republican | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Republican | No | – | |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Republican | No | – | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Republican | No | – | |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| May 27, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| May 26, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Republican | No | – | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Republican | No | – | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Republican | Yes | – | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Republican | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Republican” said on The Briefing?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Republican” was said on The Briefing in 30 of 41 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (73%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Republican” is said on The Briefing next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=41). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP