The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jun 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Raphael Warnock say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 71%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 64%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 61%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy | Yes | 55%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 47%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 58%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 46%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 38%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 35%n=15 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JUN23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP