The Briefing with Jen Psaki (MS NOW), September 2, 2026

On the Sep 2, 2026 episode of The Briefing with Jen Psaki, 5 of the 10 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Susan / Collins Yes1220✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Healthcare Yes34✓70%n=24 from settlement history–
Trump Yes346✓67%n=22 from settlement history–
Tariff Yes11✓75%n=4 from settlement history–
ICE Yes11✓42%n=9 from settlement history–
Republican No051✓54%n=32 from settlement history–
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional No03✓37%n=4 from settlement history–
Corrupt / Corruption No00✓32%n=26 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No00✓31%n=25 from settlement history–
Graham / Platner No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

counts and timings only

Captions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

Where the listed words were said

Troy Jacksonguest“Susan / Collins” · 14:53

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Troy Jacksonguest“Healthcare” · 13:14

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Troy Jacksonguest“Trump” · 13:39

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-09-02:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-09-02:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP