The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Dec 10, 2025

Wed, Dec 10EpisodeHistory onlyThe Briefing with Jen Psaki

Updated

Markets

10 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Affordable / Affordability Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Healthcare Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Republican Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
2028 No–new new word, no probability yet–
Mitch McConnell No–new new word, no probability yet–
Red State No–new new word, no probability yet–
Retirement No–new new word, no probability yet–
Senate No–new new word, no probability yet–
Vice President / VP No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-25DEC10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP