The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jun 12, 2026
Kalshi What will Abigail Spanberger say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 71%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 69%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 63%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 60%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 50%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 43%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | Yes | 31%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 67%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Housing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 47%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Budget | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JUN12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP