The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jun 26, 2026
Kalshi What will AOC say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
13 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 75%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 69%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 58%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 58%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| New York City | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Progressive | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 43%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | Yes | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | Yes | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 45%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 41%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | No | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JUN26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP