The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jun 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Adam Schiff say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
11 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 64%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 61%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 58%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 55%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| IRS | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pulte | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | Yes | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 50%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | 35%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JUN03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP