The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Aug 6, 2026

Thu, Aug 6EpisodeHistory onlyThe Briefing with Jen Psaki

Updated

Markets

13 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Trump 3+ timesYes38%n=9 from settlement history–
Billionaire Yes38%n=8 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes36%n=19 from settlement history–
Republican No50%n=27 from settlement history–
Netanyahu No–new new word, no probability yet–
Socialist / Socialism No46%n=4 from settlement history–
2028 / Campaign No46%n=4 from settlement history–
Data Center No–new new word, no probability yet–
Israel / Israeli No45%n=2 from settlement history–
Epstein No44%n=12 from settlement history–
Healthcare No38%n=19 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No29%n=10 from settlement history–
Election No24%n=16 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26AUG06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP