The Briefing with Jen Psaki (MS NOW), September 22, 2026
On the Sep 22, 2026 episode of The Briefing with Jen Psaki, 8 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
16 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 10 | 23 | ✓ | 37%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 3 | 39 | ✓ | 55%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Federal | Yes | 3 | 8 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Union | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 2 | 11 | ✓ | 40%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 1 | 5 | ✓ | 70%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Veteran | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | Yes | 1 | 21 | ✓ | 25%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 64%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 25 | ✓ | 45%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Energy / Electricity | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | 34%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 26%n=29 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-09-22:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-09-22:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP