The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jan 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Pete Buttigieg say during The Briefing With Jen Psaki?
Markets
12 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Citizen / American | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Noem / Homan | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Protest / Protester | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unite / Unity / United | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Constitution / Unconstitutional | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JAN29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP