The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jan 7, 2026
Kalshi What will Nancy Pelosi say on The Briefing With Jen Psaki?
Markets
12 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democracy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Constitution / Unconstitutional | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insurrection / Attack / Attacked | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pardon / Pardoned | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dictator / Dictatorship | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JAN07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP