The Briefing with Jen Psaki (MS NOW), August 27, 2026

On the Aug 27, 2026 episode of The Briefing with Jen Psaki, 6 of the 12 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Updated

Markets

12 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Farm / Farmer Yes79✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Iowa Yes612✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Corrupt / Corruption Yes513✓56%n=25 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes22✓36%n=23 from settlement history–
Healthcare Yes17✓62%n=23 from settlement history–
Tariff Yes11✓59%n=3 from settlement history–
Cancer No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No020✓56%n=21 from settlement history–
Republican No024✓49%n=31 from settlement history–
Billionaire No00✓40%n=11 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No03✓36%n=22 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No00✓29%n=16 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

counts and timings only

Captions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

Where the listed words were said

Josh Turekguest“Farm / Farmer” · 32:41

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Josh Turekguest“Iowa” · 29:40

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Josh Turekguest“Corrupt / Corruption” · 30:53

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Josh Turekguest“Afford / Affordable / Affordability” · 31:42

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-08-27:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-08-27:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP