The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Apr 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 59%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Powell | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investigate / Investigated / Investigation | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 25%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ethic / Ethical | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 34%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26APR21C · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP