The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jun 11, 2026
Kalshi What will James Talarico say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 82%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 72%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 59%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 56%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 49%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 57%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Jesus / God | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obama | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | No | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JUN11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP