The Briefing with Jen Psaki (MS NOW), September 16, 2026

On the Sep 16, 2026 episode of The Briefing with Jen Psaki, 5 of the 13 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Trump Yes720✓66%n=24 from settlement history–
Corrupt / Corruption Yes22✓41%n=28 from settlement history–
Election Yes12✓68%n=22 from settlement history–
Healthcare Yes13✓54%n=27 from settlement history–
Iran / Iranian Yes16✓40%n=15 from settlement history–
Data Center No00✓59%n=2 from settlement history–
Republican No06✓51%n=35 from settlement history–
Energy / Electricity No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No03✓47%n=18 from settlement history–
Antisemitism / Antisemitic No00✓46%n=3 from settlement history–
Affordable / Affordability No00✓39%n=6 from settlement history–
2028 / Campaign No01✓39%n=7 from settlement history–
Democrat No00✓33%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

counts and timings only

Captions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

Where the listed words were said

Josh Shapiroguest“Trump” · 54:11

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Josh Shapiroguest“Corrupt / Corruption” · 54:46

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Josh Shapiroguest“Election” · 55:40

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Josh Shapiroguest“Healthcare” · 48:06

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-09-16:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-09-16:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP