The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Feb 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Wes Moore say during his MS NOW interview?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 68%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 65%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Federal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sewage | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 66%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Racist / Racism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lie / Lies / Lied / Lying | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Potomac | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26FEB19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP