The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jul 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Jon Ossoff say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
16 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 79%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 70%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 61%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 54%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Bigot / Antisemite / Antisemitic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election Denier / Election Denial | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mike / Collins | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 70%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 50%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Debate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Medicaid / Medicare | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 43%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 40%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 34%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 26%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JUL14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP