The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jul 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Jon Ossoff say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
15 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 61%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Hegseth | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 31%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 25%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 69%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 66%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 64%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 58%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Bigot / Antisemite / Antisemitic | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ballroom / Pool | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fraud | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 36%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Debate | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 20%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JUL22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP