The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, May 27, 2026
Kalshi What will Beto O'Rourke say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 68%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 67%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 54%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 52%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 51%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| James / Talarico | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ken / Paxton | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prison / Jail | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ted / Cruz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26MAY27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP