The Briefing with Jen Psaki (MS NOW), October 14, 2026
On the Oct 14, 2026 episode of The Briefing with Jen Psaki, 4 of the 13 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 13 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
13 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 13- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 6 | 68 | ✓ | 39%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 2 | 22 | ✓ | 35%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Hegseth | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Election | Yes | 0 | 11 | ✗ | 73%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption / Crook | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Healthcare | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 64%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | 62%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 7 | ✓ | 54%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 40%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | 0 | 7 | ✓ | 38%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 32%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-10-14:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki:2026-10-14:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP