The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jun 10, 2026

Wed, Jun 10EpisodeHistory onlyThe Briefing with Jen Psaki

Updated

Markets

14 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Republican Yes77%n=16 from settlement history–
Military / Marine Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes52%n=13 from settlement history–
Corrupt / Corruption Yes46%n=12 from settlement history–
New York Times Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein Yes37%n=9 from settlement history–
Healthcare / Childcare No67%n=11 from settlement history–
Nazi / Tattoo No–new new word, no probability yet–
Text / Texted No–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No56%n=8 from settlement history–
Iran / Iranian No42%n=5 from settlement history–
Bernie / Sanders No–new new word, no probability yet–
PTSD No–new new word, no probability yet–
Billionaire No36%n=3 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JUN10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP