The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Jun 17, 2026
Kalshi What will Nancy Pelosi say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
14 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 75%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional | Yes | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy | Yes | 52%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Congress / Congressional | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 45%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 44%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 61%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 61%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 53%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | 43%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26JUN17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP