Will “Trump” be said on Fox News next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on Fox News in 26 of 41 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (63%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=41, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

52%from settlement history only · n=41counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=trump

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Fox News (interviews)

Trump

Probability
52% · n=41
Settled
26/41 (63%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Abdul El-Sayedguest24:34In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Abdul El-Sayedguest31:31In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 22 by speakers the rule does not count.

Mark Rutteguest1:53:14In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Mark Rutteguest1:58:04In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Joe Manchin say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 8 by speakers the rule does not count.

Joe Manchinguest18:37In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rand Paul say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 41 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 5, 2026TrumpKalshiYes2
Sep 24, 2026TrumpKalshiYes2
Aug 23, 2026TrumpKalshiYes1
Aug 15, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Aug 8, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jul 29, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jun 27, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Jun 27, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jun 22, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Jun 14, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Jun 10, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jun 7, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
May 31, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
May 30, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
May 28, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
May 13, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
May 3, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Apr 26, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Apr 25, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Apr 25, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Apr 18, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Apr 6, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Apr 5, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Apr 4, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Mar 30, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Mar 28, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Mar 22, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Mar 20, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Mar 20, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Mar 9, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Mar 8, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Mar 3, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 26, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 22, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Feb 15, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Feb 11, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 4, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 1, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jan 30, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jan 22, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jan 15, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Trump” said on Fox News?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on Fox News in 26 of 41 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (63%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026.
What is the probability “Trump” is said on Fox News next time?
52%, from settlement history (n=41). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP