Fox News (interviews): Episode, Feb 15, 2026
Kalshi What will John Fetterman say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Big Beautiful Bill | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / Border / Homeland | Yes | 27%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 65%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Schumer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26FEB15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP