Fox News (interviews): Episode, Aug 8, 2026
Kalshi What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump?
Markets
14 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 52%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 51%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 66%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 45%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Sanctuary | No | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 36%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 34%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 29%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 29%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 27%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | 27%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 25%n=20 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26AUG08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP