Fox News (interviews): Episode, Apr 18, 2026
Kalshi What will Anna Paulina Luna say during Fox News: Saturday in America?
Markets
11 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 43%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| ID / Identification | Yes | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| FISA | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | 32%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 52%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 43%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 42%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| FBI | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SAVE Act / Save America Act | No | 28%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 24%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP