Fox News (interviews): Episode, Mar 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Nick Shirley say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
11 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daycare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hospice | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Gavin / Newsom | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorism / Terrorist | No | 64%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 59%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Learing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| YouTube / YouTuber | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAR20B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP