Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade, August 23, 2026
On the Aug 23, 2026 episode of Fox News (interviews), 4 of the 11 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 10 of 11 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
11 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 11- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 2 | 10 | ✓ | 53%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 1 | 9 | ✓ | 46%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | Yes | 1 | 5 | ✓ | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 0 | 6 | ✗ | 38%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 5 | ✓ | 48%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 36%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordability / Affordable | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Bipartisan / Partisan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 10 | ✓ | 21%n=22 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/fox-news-interviews:2026-08-23:tv_episode-one-nation-with-brian-kilmeade · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=fox-news-interviews:2026-08-23:tv_episode-one-nation-with-brian-kilmeade · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP