Fox News (interviews): Episode, Jan 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Josh Shapiro say during his Fox News Interview?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 64%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Antisemitic / Antisemitism | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Book / Memoir | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Violent / Violence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walz | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 2028 / Midterm / Campaign | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fetterman | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fire / Arson | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26JAN30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP