Fox News (interviews): Episode, Jul 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin?
Markets
10 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 56%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Antisemitism / Antisemitic | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 23%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Sanctuary | No | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 36%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 34%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 25%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26JUL11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP