Fox News (interviews): Episode, Mar 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Michelle Bowman say during her Fox Business interview?
Markets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | Yes | 53%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Leverage Ratio | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mortgage | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 62%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 49%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deregulation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fannie / Freddie | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rate Cut / Cut Rate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Recession | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Powell | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAR20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP