Fox News (interviews): Episode, Aug 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin?
Markets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat / Democratic Party | Yes | 50%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Senate | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Constitution / Constitutional | Yes | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Ballot | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election Integrity | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jim Crow | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| John Thune / Thune | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mail-in Voting | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Voter Registration / Register to Vote | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chuck Schumer / Schumer | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Radical Left / Far Left | No | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Filibuster | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fraud | No | 35%n=19 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26AUG02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP