Fox News (interviews): Episode, Mar 8, 2026
Kalshi What will Mike Pence say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 57%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Yes | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | Yes | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / Border | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 41%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hormuz / Oil | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAR08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP