Fox News (interviews): Episode, Jun 10, 2026
Kalshi What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: America Reports?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 70%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 62%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / DHS | Yes | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Sanctuary | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| New Jersey | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| World Cup | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 24%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | 12%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26JUN10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP