Fox News (interviews): Episode, May 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Spencer Pratt say during Fox News: Saturday in America?
Markets
14 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fentanyl / Zombie | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Karen / Bass | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Newsom | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wildfire / Palisades | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 64%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Homeless / Homelessness | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Reality TV / Hollywood | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 14%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 40%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Common Sense | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 29%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Ghana | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 16%n=15 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAY30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP