Fox News (interviews): Episode, Apr 4, 2026
Kalshi What will Usha Vance say during Fox News: Saturday in America?
Markets
10 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | No | 40%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Pregnant / Pregnancy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | 34%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Melania | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Military | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Secret Service | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| White House | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Healthcare | No | 22%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 22%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR04 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP