Fox News (interviews): Episode, Apr 26, 2026
Kalshi What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Fox News Sunday?
Markets
13 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 73%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 54%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 38%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 34%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fraud | No | 30%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 23%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP