Fox News (interviews): Episode, Mar 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Chris Van Hollen say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 50%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / DHS | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran | No | 57%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NATO | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 43%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| War Power | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela / Cuba | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAR22B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP