Fox News (interviews): Episode, Jan 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Mark Rutte say during his Fox News Interview?
Markets
12 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ally / Alliance | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Danish / Denmark | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greenland | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Security | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Negotiated / Negotiation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Golden Dome | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ice / Iceland | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Independent / Independence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26JAN22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP