Fox News (interviews): Episode, Mar 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
13 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 56%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Civilian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gaza / Palestine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Regime | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| October 7 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epic Fury | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Existential | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hezbollah | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iron Dome | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Khamenei / Ayatollah | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAR03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP