Fox News (interviews): Episode, Mar 9, 2026
Kalshi What will Reza Pahlavi say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 68%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Freedom | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transition / Transitional | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iraq / Iraqi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | Yes | 24%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 59%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | 29%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei | No | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAR09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP