Fox News (interviews): Episode, Aug 15, 2026
Kalshi What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America?
Markets
14 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 47%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 41%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | 39%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 36%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 34%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | Yes | 33%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 52%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 35%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 34%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 30%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 29%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | 26%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 22%n=20 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26AUG15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP