Fox News (interviews): Episode, May 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Rand Paul say during The Will Cain Show?
Markets
13 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Congress / CIA | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | 38%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Fauci | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hantavirus / Virus | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Science / Scientist | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 65%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 50%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Bipartisan | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 29%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | 27%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 27%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAY13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP